2026 Outlook
Based on current trajectories
Likely
• Agentic workflow refinement
• Further multimodal integration
• More efficient training methods
• Expanded vertical applications
Uncertain
• Enterprise-wide deployment acceleration
• Novel capability breakthroughs
• Regulatory framework development
• Open vs. proprietary dynamics
The industry remains in rapid evolution with uncertain convergence points.
My small take: it's not clear that the industry will converge on a single model or architecture. The most likely outcome is a continued diversity of models and architectures, each with its own strengths and weaknesses. This is a good thing, as it will allow for more experimentation and innovation. However, it will also make it more difficult to compare models and architectures, and to understand the trade-offs between them. This is why we need more benchmarks and more standardized evaluation frameworks.